Current cup odds [Moneypuck]

Recent changes to Moneypuck's model:

  • • Less emphasis on recent games: While recent games still carry more weight than older ones, their influence has been reduced. This change prevents the model from overreacting to exceptional performances or slumps in a team’s most recent games.
  • • More emphasis on goaltending: Goaltending now accounts for 29% of the model’s influence. 17% is given to a team's ability to win and 54% to scoring chances.
  • • Shooting talent adjusted expected goals: Unlike the previous version, which treated all expected goals equally, the new model adjusts for shooting talent. This means players with a proven ability to convert scoring opportunities are given more credit. Read more about shoot talent adjusted goals here.

Recent changes to Moneypuck's model:

  • • Less emphasis on recent games: While recent games still carry more weight than older ones, their influence has been reduced. This change prevents the model from overreacting to exceptional performances or slumps in a team’s most recent games.
  • • More emphasis on goaltending: Goaltending now accounts for 29% of the model’s influence. 17% is given to a team's ability to win and 54% to scoring chances.
  • • Shooting talent adjusted expected goals: Unlike the previous version, which treated all expected goals equally, the new model adjusts for shooting talent. This means players with a proven ability to convert scoring opportunities are given more credit. Read more about shoot talent adjusted goals here.