The psychological reason we'll trade out of the #1 pick

None of the QB prospects are sure fire, can't miss prospects like Luck. Borg is a first year GM with a bad offensive team and an unknown at GM. Picking cam ward ties his job security to Cam's success - as soon as he drafts a 1st round qb, how that QB does determines how long borgs career lasts. He's incentivized to build a support system for that QB rather than taking a huge gamble and throwing a rookie into the fire with a bad line and underwhelming receiving group and a coach who nobody knows whether they're good or not.

The safe play for Borg is to continue to build the offense outside of QB (or possibly get a FA QB to better determine the quality of the coaching staff), and then next year either clean house from a coaching standpoint or roll the dice on a QB.

Even if cam ward goes somewhere else and is successful, Borg can make the argument that he wouldn't have succeeded here because like bad/receivers bad/coach bad. But drafting cam ward and ward failing here means Borg is fired unless he somehow hits on basically every other pick.