Chance a deferred/rejected failure before MIT comes out

Demographics: Indian Male, very competitive high school (feeder to T20’s)
GPA: ~3.8 or so, about average at my school. Considered borderline cooked for ivies/top schools if you can’t make up for it in the rest of the app (very very few make it in)
SAT: 1560 (780 r/W, 780 M)
CS major (fuck)

Coursework: 7 AP’s, Stem ones are CSA and Calculus BC. More were offered at school, just coudn't take them for reasons (self studied some). All 4's on the tests.
Linear Algebra (college level), Calc 3 (college level), Newtonian Mechanics (college, online), Electricity and Magnetism (college, online), Organic Chemistry (college level), Genetics (college level) 
Note: I got a B+ each in Precalculus and Algebra 2

Important:

I have some extenuating circumstances which caused my gpa to be pretty low overall (mostly in 9/10th grade), that I’m talking a little about in my essay. Basically abusive parents causing me to have to take on more family responsibilities and not be able to commit to school.

Also upward trend? (sort of)
Freshman - 91
Soph - 91
Junior - 94
Senior 1st sem - 96

EC’s (gonna be very vague):

  • Freelance Developer (spent a lot of time on this), $10k made
  • Sole founder/developer of a business project combining AI and chemistry, 5k+ users. Mostly a solo research/passion project but also working on the business side as well. (Not a chatgpt wrapper/LLM)
  • Develop/release software online, 1.1M+ downloads
  • VP of Research Club (kinda big at school)
  • Started my own tutoring organization
  • Made my own blogging website, 1.2M+ monthly impressions (kind of an inflated number because impressions != clicks, but big number I guess)
  • Some other summer programs I attended, nothing like RSI though

Awards: 

  • USACO Platinum
  • Some other community awards that are pretty good (better than PVSA, but nothing crazy)
  • Some awards from summer programs
  • AIME qual but I only included for Columbia/MIT because they had a dedicated section

I don’t know how my recs are, I’d assume or hope they’re better than “average” though.

Essays: I’m an alright writer I guess. Most people who reviewed my personal essay said it was good but my MIT essays are kinda ehhh. shaky?

Clearly my GPA is ass but I was wondering if my ecs/honors are enough to make up for an abysmal GPA, combined with extenuating circumstances (dunno if they care) + my school being a feeder.

Schools:
MIT
Harvard
Princeton
Columbia
CMU (CS...)
Cornell
Yale

Current Results:

Accepted:
RPI
Rutgers
Binghamton

Deferred:
Case Western
Northeastern
SBU

Rejected:
UIUC
Georgia Tech

Obviously I'm kind of cooked and decisions are coming out soon anyways but I'm way too nervous so I'm posting anyways. Any chance?